Will 2020 Directors Guild Awards preview Best Picture again after leading us astray last year?

In the 71-year history of the DGA Awards, the guild has honored the director of the eventual Oscar Best Picture winner a staggering 55 times. That success rate of 77% far eclipses that of both the PGA (21/30 = 70%) and SAG (11/22 = 50%). This year’s slate of Directors Guild of America Awards nominees will be announced on January 7.

We are just coming off one of those 16 years when there was a disconnect between the guild and the academy. While Alfonso Cuarón won over the DGA for the helming of his memoir “Roma,” it was “Green Book” that claimed the top prize at the Academy Awards. That film’s director, Peter Farrelly, was nominated by the guild but snubbed by the directors branch of the academy. And his movie did not number among the five nominated for Best Ensemble at the SAG Awards; “Black Panther” took home that prize.

In 2018, Guillermo del Toro bagged the DGA
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